The much-awaited “Megalopolis,” a passion project directed by Francis Ford Coppola and with an astounding $120 million budget, could have a devastating box office outcome. Industry sources and early projections suggest that even with a wide distribution in more than 700 cinemas, the movie may have a dismal $5 million for its US premiere.

After years of production, the science fiction drama is set in a futuristic New York City and is Coppola’s most ambitious project since “Apocalypse Now.” The film features an impressive ensemble of actors, including Dustin Hoffman, Laurence Fishburne, Adam Driver, and Forest Whitaker. “Megalopolis” has encountered major obstacles before its premiere, despite the outstanding cast and Coppola’s famous reputation as a director.

The unorthodox releasing approach of the picture is a major contributing element to the negative box office estimates. In contrast to typical major studio releases, Coppola’s production firm, American Zoetrope, is handling the independent distribution of “Megalopolis”. It will therefore not receive the same level of marketing and promotion as a picture from a conventional studio. Furthermore, a larger audience may not find the film appealing due to its R rating and intricate, thought-provoking plot.

Another big worry is the film’s hefty production budget. “Megalopolis” would need to do incredibly well to cover its budget, even with a strong box office run. It appears doubtful that the movie will be able to break even, much less make a profit, with an estimated $5 million for its opening weekend.

The dismal “Megalopolis” box office predictions serve as a sobering reminder of the difficulties indie filmmakers face in the current Hollywood environment. The movie’s poor box office performance might have a big effect on Coppola’s upcoming projects, even though it might still find an audience through streaming or home video.

There is still hope for “Megalopolis” despite the dire forecasts. Several critics have given the movie favourable reviews, praising Coppola’s skilful storytelling, the film’s ambition, and its striking aesthetic. Word-of-mouth may contribute to the movie’s improved box office performance in the weeks after its premiere.

The film has a steep learning curve due to its complicated story, expensive production, and small marketing budget. It remains to be seen if Coppola’s most recent masterwork will be a financial success, or a box office bust.